Teams getting hot in conference tournaments, including bid-stealers, typically pare down the bubble significantly by Selection Sunday. Two potential bid-stealers that make sense are UConn in the American and Richmond in the A10. For the sake of brevity, each game today with bubble implications will be discussed in one sentence. However, the many neutral “bubbly” matchups will come Wed/Thurs/Fri of next week.
Last 4 In: Indiana, Colorado St., Illinois, UCLA
Last 5 Out: BYU, Miami, Texas, Tulsa, Temple
Cuse at NC State – The Pack have the shooters to beat the zone, but a loss puts them in must-win territory in ACC tournament.
Miami at VT – Win for Miami and they get the #6 seed in the ACC. Would probably need to beat ND on Thurs to get in.
Pitt at FSU – Pitt needs to string together 3 or 4 in a row.
Michigan St at IU – MSU (though the resume is soft) is probably safe and IU needs this one desperately to maintain its position.
Oklahoma St at WVU – With 6 Top 50 wins, OSU probably doesn’t need to worry, but a win in Morgantown solidifies their spot.
UConn at Temple – UConn needs to win the conference tourney after losing at home to Memphis, while I still don’t think a win for Temple puts them in the field.
Alabama at Texas A&M – Avoiding the home loss to a team not in the field is key for a team with 0 Top 50 wins.
LSU at Arkansas – I’ll preface this by stating that I believe LSU is safe, and will go out on a limb that they win this one and lock up their bid.
Xavier at Creighton – Xavier probably has to lose their next two to start sweating.
KSU at Texas – Loss at home = elimination.
Stanford at Arizona – Stanford is way out as of today, but winning at Zona brings them back into consideration.
Illinois at Purdue – The most “bubbly” game of the day. Winner should feel comfortable, while the loser will likely need to win 1-2 in the Big 10 Tournament.
George Mason at VCU – VCU is in complete free-fall mode right now, and a loss to Mason (Paul Hewitt sure has run this program into the ground) would probably knock them out.
Davidson at Duquesne – The Dukes just got Dayton, and after a 27-point pounding of VCU, this is a prototypical trap game Davidson needs to avoid.
Fresno St. at Boise St. – Boise is in better shape than CSU (see below), but a loss to Fresno would be crippling.
Colorado St. at Utah St. – CSU is a team I have lower than most (as they have no good road wins) and likely will need to beat SDSU or Boise in the semis in Vegas to get in.
Belmont vs. Murray State – Must win for the Racers as they don’t have a chance without the auto bid due to losses to Houston, Portland and Valpo by 35.
Santa Clara vs. BYU – Take care of business, then beat SMC, and we’ll talk.