Bracket Projection – March 8

I’m pretty sure it’s all mental for St. Mary’s against Duke West.  They just missed wide open shot, after wide open shot, in the first half as they were down 21 at the break.  The Gaels made a run, but still ended up getting crushed for a third time.

It’s clear now that I had St. Mary’s overseeded, especially as their best win is at Dayton, who was without Kendall Pollard and Josh Cunningham.  Of course, they missed the tournament last year at 27-5.  Let’s compare their resume to last year.

2016 SMC:  27-5, RPI: 40, SOS: 163, Top 50: 2-2, Top 100: 6-3

2017 SMC:  28-4, RPI: 19, SOS: 92, Top 50: 2-4, Top 100: 8-4

Are they in? Sure. But they’ll be no higher than an 8 seed.

You’ll see that I’ve moved Wichita State up to a 7 seed.  This may be completely wrong, and could change before Sunday, but right now, I think the committee is going to have a hard time putting the Shockers on the 9 line or below.

Last Four In:  Xavier, Vanderbilt, USC, Kansas State

Next Four:  Rhode Island, Illinois State, Illinois, Iowa

MIDWEST

1 Kansas vs. 16 New Orleans/Mt. St. Mary’s – Tulsa
8 Creighton vs. 9 Arkansas
5 Virginia vs. 12 USC/Kansas State
4 Purdue vs. E. Tennessee St – Milwaukee
3 Arizona vs. 14 CSU Bakersfield – Salt Lake City
6 Wisconsin vs. 11 Wake Forest
7 Oklahoma St vs. 10 Providence
2 Louisville vs. 15 N. Kentucky – Indianapolis

WEST

1 Oregon vs. 16 UC Irvine – Sacramento
8 Northwestern vs. 9 St. Mary’s
5 Notre Dame vs. 12 Nevada
4 Butler vs. 13 Akron – Milwaukee
3 Duke vs. 14 Winthrop – Greenville
6 Iowa State vs. 11 Xavier/Vanderbilt
7 Wichita State vs. 10 Michigan State
2 Gonzaga vs. 15 E. Washington – Salt Lake City

EAST

1 Villanova vs. 16 NC Central/S. Dakota St – Buffalo
8 Michigan vs. 9 VCU
5 Cincinnati vs. 12 UT-Arlington
4 Florida vs. 13 Princeton – Orlando
3 Florida State vs. 14 Florida Gulf Coast – Orlando
6 Minnesota vs. 11 Middle Tenn St
7 Virginia Tech vs. 10 Seton Hall
2 Baylor vs. 15 Iona – Tulsa

SOUTH

1 UNC vs. 16 Jacksonville St – Greenville
8 Dayton vs. 9 S. Carolina
5 SMU vs. 12 UNC Wilmington
4 West Virginia vs. 13 Vermont – Buffalo
3 Kentucky vs. 14 Bucknell – Indianapolis
6 Maryland vs. 11 Syracuse
7 Miami vs. 10 Marquette
2 UCLA vs. 15 Texas Southern – Sacramento

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s