Bracket Projection – March 9

Ok.  The bubble has me confused.  That’s fine, though, because tomorrow (the 4th greatest day of the college basketball season) should provide some clarity.

I currently have 11 teams in play for 6 spots, and we’ll discuss them in their current order.  Cases can be made for all of these teams to get in, well, maybe not Cal.

Wake Forest (19-13)

Next: None

The Deacons could have clinched a bid with a win over Virginia Tech, but I think the wins over Louisville and VT in the last week of the regular season should have them in the field.

RPI: 31, SOS: 23, NSOS: 16, T50: 3-9, T100: 7-13, 0 sub 100 losses

Xavier (20-12)

Next:  Butler

In the last month, Xavier has beaten DePaul twice…and that’s it.  If they beat Butler, they’ll be in.

RPI: 32, SOS: 12, NSOS: 21, T50: 3-8, T100: 8-11, 1 sub 100 loss

Vanderbilt (17-14)

Next:  Texas A&M

Before getting the opportunity to hand Florida a third loss, the ‘Dores need to avoid a loss to the Aggies.

RPI: 45, SOS: 3, NSOS: 2, T50: 5-8, T100: 10-13, 1 sub 100 loss

USC (24-8)

Next:  UCLA

They are on the bubble because 19 of their 24 wins have come against sub 100 teams.  Andy Enfield is yelling about east-coast bias.  Play better teams, dude.  Beating UCLA in Vegas would punch their ticket.

RPI: 39, SOS: 78, NSOS: 144, T50: 2-5, T100: 5-7, 1 sub 100 loss

Iowa (18-13)

Next:  Indiana

The more I look at this resume, the more I’m digging it.  They have wins over the top 3 B1G teams (Purdue, at Wisconsin, at Maryland) and Iowa State.  Have to take care of business against the Hoosiers.

RPI: 71, SOS: 46, NSOS: 136, T50: 5-7, T100: 9-11, 2 sub 100 losses

Kansas State (19-12)

Next:  Baylor

Pretty simple here.  Beat Baylor…IN.  Lose…OUT.

RPI: 59, SOS: 56, NSOS: 236, T50: 3-8, T100: 5-10, 2 sub 100 losses

Syracuse (18-14)

boeheimsad

Next:  None

If they don’t make the tournament, Jimmy B is to blame for their awful non-conference schedule and their refusal to play outside the state of New York until January.  Going to be a long wait until Selection Sunday.

RPI: 75, SOS: 59, NSOS: 214, T50: 6-8, T100: 10-14, 4 sub 100 losses

Rhode Island (21-9)

Next:  Winner of St. Bonaventure/UMass

The Rams may need to knock off the Bonnies and the Flyers to feel safe.  A loss to the Bonnies eliminates them.

RPI: 42, SOS: 55, NSOS: 24, T50: 2-3, T100: 5-7, 2 sub 100 losses

Illinois State (27-6)

Next:  None

Losing by 20 on Sunday was a bad look.  Their fans need to root for all these other teams to lose.

RPI: 37, SOS: 157, NSOS: 156, T50: 1-2, T100: 2-4, 2 sub 100 losses

Illinois (18-13)

Next:  Michigan

Although they beat Iowa twice, they may still be behind the Hawkeyes.  First, they lost to Rutgers.  Second, Illinois was 8-10 in the Big Ten, and has not beaten Purdue, Maryland, Wisconsin or Minnesota.  Beating Michigan would be a start, but they may have to get the Boilers too.

RPI: 58, SOS: 20, NSOS: 50, T50: 3-8, T100: 11-12, 1 sub 100 loss

California (20-11)

Next:  Utah

Utah just beat Cal by 30, so this is a tall order.  They’d have to beat Utah, and then Oregon, to get back into the conversation.

RPI: 55, SOS: 34, NSOS: 29, T50: 1-7, T100: 4-9, 2 sub 100 losses

 

MIDWEST

1 Kansas vs. 16 New Orleans/Mt. St. Mary’s – Tulsa
8 Creighton vs. 9 Arkansas
5 Virginia vs. 12 Vanderbilt/Iowa
4 Purdue vs. E. Tennessee St – Milwaukee
3 Arizona vs. 14 CSU Bakersfield – Salt Lake City
6 Wisconsin vs. 11 Wake Forest
7 Oklahoma St vs. 10 Providence
2 Louisville vs. 15 N. Kentucky – Indianapolis

WEST

1 Oregon vs. 16 UC Irvine – Sacramento
8 Northwestern vs. 9 St. Mary’s
5 Notre Dame vs. 12 Nevada
4 Butler vs. 13 Akron – Milwaukee
3 Duke vs. 14 Winthrop – Greenville
6 Iowa State vs. 11 Xavier
7 Wichita State vs. 10 Michigan State
2 Gonzaga vs. 15 E. Washington – Salt Lake City

EAST

1 Villanova vs. 16 NC Central/S. Dakota St – Buffalo
8 Michigan vs. 9 VCU
5 SMU vs. 12 UT-Arlington
4 Florida vs. 13 Princeton – Orlando
3 Florida State vs. 14 Florida Gulf Coast – Orlando
6 Minnesota vs. 11 Middle Tenn St
7 Virginia Tech vs. 10 Seton Hall
2 Baylor vs. 15 Iona – Tulsa

SOUTH

1 UNC vs. 16 Jacksonville St – Greenville
8 Dayton vs. 9 S. Carolina
5 Cincinnati vs. 12 UNC Wilmington
4 West Virginia vs. 13 Vermont – Buffalo
3 Kentucky vs. 14 Bucknell – Indianapolis
6 Maryland vs. 11 Kansas State/USC
7 Miami vs. 10 Marquette
2 UCLA vs. 15 Texas Southern – Sacramento

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